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If you think it is difficult replica handbagsto cobble together a health care bill that will win majority support, cap and trade is even more difficult. As Rockefeller's Senate office notes, at least six different committees have jurisdiction over such legislation. There is a tug of war going on over the bill's precise wording from both the left and right wings of the Democratic Party.
Among Democrats alone, moderates Replica Louis Vuittonand those who hail from energy-producing or manufacturing states that will be particularly hard hit are balking. So are some liberals like Sen. Russ Feingold (D-Wis.) who fear the regressiveness of a national energy tax and its impact on American competitiveness when other countries don't follow suit.
All told, sources tell TAS that as designer handbags many as 15 Senate Democrats are either opposed to cap and trade or on the fence. It would take as few as four to deny the majority the votes for cloture, which means that Kerry-Boxer would fall to a filibuster unless the Democratic leadership -- already tangled in the weeds of health care -- wanted to try to ram it through using the reconciliation process.
Obama budget director Peter OrszagReplica Watches previously estimated that a 15 percent reduction in emissions would cause the average American family to pay $1,300 in additional utility costs per year. That's a smaller reduction than either the House or Senate version anticipates.
The National Association of Omega replica WatchesManufacturers is predicting a loss of 3 to 4 million jobs under cap and trade, as businesses escape its costs by accelerating the shipping of jobs overseas. These concerns -- and the effectiveness of Republican criticisms of "cap and tax" and the "light bulb tax" -- are also giving swing-state Democrats pause.
"The more information AmericansSwiss replica Watches find out about the 'cap and trade' energy tax," Congressman Steve Scalise (R-La.) told TAS in May, "the more they don't like this attempt to impose a national tax on energy while shipping millions of American jobs overseas." That is true of the Democrats representing them, too.
Debate over Kerry-Boxer is just beginning, and there remain influential Democratic constituencies that ardently favor cap and trade. If the health care bill stagnates due to an intraparty fight over the public option, pressure will mount on Senate Democrats to make progress on climate change legislation. But if the early signals are any indication, it looks like John Kerry has his work cut out for him.
